CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten dropped a truth bomb on Nancy Pelosi’s House, revealing that she’s going down, and the GOP will take a huge House majority.
Enten said that Republicans will win a massive majority in the United States House of Representatives in the midterm elections this November.
On “The Lead”, anchor Jake Tapper said, “If you’re a Republican running for re-election or trying to unseat a Democrat, things are looking pretty good, right?”
“I would say they’re looking very good from the historical context,” Enten said. “Basically, I took the best Republican positions on the generic congressional ballot at this point in midterm cycles since 1938 — that generic ballot basically is, ‘Would you vote for the generic Republican or generic Democrat in your district?’ And guess what, since 1938, the Republican two-point lead on the generic congressional ballot is the best position for Republicans at this point in any midterm cycle in over 80 years. It beats 2010 when Republicans were up a point. It beats 2014, 2002, 1998, where Democrats led by a point, and in all of those four prior examples that make this list of the top five, look at that, who won a majority? It was the Republicans who won a majority.”
Enten added, “Now, of course, the election is not being held tomorrow, and we’ll see. Sometimes history isn’t always prologue, but my estimate for the 2023 House makeup, if the election were held today, which again, it isn’t, we still have five months, five months from tomorrow, would be Republicans, 236 seats to 241 seats. Democrats, 194 to 199. That’s based off a formula of seat-to-seat race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections.”
Then the moment of truth came.
Tapper said, “That is a stomping, or that would be a stomping.”
Enten agreed, “Yes, it would.”
To see video of this interview between Tapper and Enten, click here.